Property Sales Heading For The Lowest Dip In Five Years
Friday, August 10th, 2007The economic slump is telling on slim purses. Less and less can avail of mortgage loans to buy properties. There are no units for sale than buyers. It is apprehended by National Association of Realtors that real estate market rates will fall to a five-year record low dip.
For the eighth time this year their predictions were revised. Each time the rate kept falling down and down. Home sales were to fall by 6.8% to$ 6.06 million in 2007. Since 2002 this was the lowest mark. Sale of new houses comprise of 15% of the real estate market. The prices of these will drop by 19% to $852,000 – this being an all time low dip in a decade.
Economist Lawrence Yun is hopeful however that trouble in the mortgage industry will affect the market only for a short period. But economist Michael Darda is of the view that an air of uncertainty looming large is causing further turbulence. It will take time for the stress and tension to abate.
The blame is being laid at the door of Wall Street firms for tying up mortgages with specific security clauses. This has led to many failing to keep to their commitments in the sub-prime market. The virus has spread from here to borrowers in the traditional loan zone. The flow of money has dried up to such an extent that American Home Mortgage Investment Corporation has had to seek protection from bankruptcy laws during this week.
Real estate agents are optimistic that during the last three months of 2007 the sale of houses will begin to pick up to $6.08 million per year. This will be a rise from the low count of $5.85 million during the third quarter of this year. Most of the forecasts are sunny about the near future with the lowest point being reached during the second quarter.
But expert Robert Shiller from Yale University is not that hopeful saying that realtors are basing their assumptions on conventional calculations. In all probabilities in this specific instance the uncertainties will continue for a much longer period – may be couple of years, leading to general economic regression.
According to figures released by the Mortgage Banker’s Association the applications to buy or re-finance a loan has jumped by 8.1% in a week. This meant a further anticipatory increase in credit and re-financing demand.
